https://forecast.weather.gov/wwamap/wwatxtget.php?cwa=BOX&wwa=red flag warning
what are the odds that something major will happen?
we seem to get 1 or 2 red flags per year in new england - and nothing
major ever happens - so statistically speaking - you would have to say
that a major fire was a long shot - but its also like walking on the
edge of the grand canyon - nothing big happens until that 1 misstep -
then its all over - not sure how that gets expressed by staticians
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